Belying the expectations of a rate cut, the monetary policy committee (MPC) has not only decided to keep the rates unchanged in its meeting today but more importantly, has shifted its stance from “accommodative” to “neutral’. This is “to assess the transitory effects of demonetization on inflation and the output gap”. The shift marks a significant … Continue reading Monetary Policy – From "Accommodative" to "Neutral" stance..
Data on International trade & Inflation for Dec’16 and IIP for the month of Nov were released by government agencies earlier this week. Coming in the backdrop of demonetisation and its expected adverse impact, the figures were much awaited. To the relief of the government, the economy appears to have performed well on all the three parameters. … Continue reading Trade, IIP and Inflation – Nov/Dec Performance..
Monthly data on WPI inflation was released today and CPI inflation was released last week. WPI inflation increased to 3.55% in July’16 whereas CPI stood at 6.1%,, marginally above the target set by the government. However, the monthly reading of Inflation appear quite monotonous and doesn’t help understand the longer term trend. Further, it has a … Continue reading CPI, WPI Inflation – Tracking the performance..
WPI based for the month of April was released last week with inflation showing an increase for the first time after 17 months. The reversal may cause anxiety if this turns out to be the beginning of another upward movement in the inflation cycle. Inflation is a word that every policymaker, and of course, the … Continue reading Explaining Inflation..