IMF World Economic Outlook April'17

The world economy is expected to witness a reasonable improvement in growth at 3.5% in 2017 against 3.1% in 2016 as per the IMF report released this week. More importantly, growth improvement is expected to be broad based with advanced economies, in the throes of subpar growth since the global crisis, also witnessing momentum gain. A … Continue reading IMF World Economic Outlook April'17
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Understanding H-1B Visa Program..

The changes in the H-1B visa rules marks the culmination of last few months of intense action and debate on the issue. The issue has just got even more polarised this week with Australia and New Zealand proposing changes in their foreign national employment conditions. So what exactly is H 1B visa and implication to different … Continue reading Understanding H-1B Visa Program..
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Global Trade – An Overview…

The change in policy stance of the world’s largest economy has added greater uncertainty to decades of efforts at globalisation. However, while Donald Trump has emerged as a villain, global trade has been witnessing a slowdown since 2008, after the global crisis. For now.. A look at the state of global trade and across major countries.. … Continue reading Global Trade – An Overview…
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Understanding Greece Debt Crisis…

Greece debt crisis seems to have divided Euro area and IMF with fresh warning coming from IMF of potential debt default by Greece. The crisis which began in 2009, causing erosion of as much as 25% of GDP, unemployment rate at nearly the same percent, refuses to provide any comfort to the nation as also … Continue reading Understanding Greece Debt Crisis…
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End of Globalisation..???

The swearing-in speech of Donald Trump and his initial decisions put a big question mark on the future of cooperation in the world economy. The talks on protecting US jobs, factories, imports tax, exports incentives etc has the potential to erode the gains of several decades which provided significantly higher growth rate and improved productivity. … Continue reading End of Globalisation..???
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Indian Rupee – Is It Appreciating or Depreciating..??

Commerce ministry has often lamented that Indian currency is significantly overvalued reducing the competitiveness of Indian exports. This looks contradictory considering the fact that rupee has been depreciating against all major currencies and is down by over 20% against dollar since 2012. However, there is a point in what they say. An attempt to understand … Continue reading Indian Rupee – Is It Appreciating or Depreciating..??
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Understanding Hyperinflation – Economy of Zimbabwe..

Zimbabwe witnessed unprecedented increase in prices during 2007-09 which could be reined-in only after abandonment of its currency. Like in all earlier episodes, this bout of hyperinflation, was also caused by sharp rise in money supply due to reckless printing of money to finance government deficit. Currency notes issued during this time ranged from Z$ 1 … Continue reading Understanding Hyperinflation – Economy of Zimbabwe..
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Chinese Economy – Challenges of Transition…

After growing at an average pace of about 10% for more than two decades, Chinese economy has cooled down to 6-7% range over last 2-3 years. This is the result of a shift in policy leading to slowdown in investments & exports, the two drivers of growth so far. The shift in policy is targeted to … Continue reading Chinese Economy – Challenges of Transition…
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Revisiting Subprime Crisis – Part II..

The trigger for busting of the housing bubble can be traced to increase in inventory of unsold homes with increasing construction to cash-in on the boom. The unsold inventory was up almost 40% in Sept’06 over previous year. This was accompanied by transition of loans from ‘interest only’ and teaser rates applicable for 12-24 months to higher rates … Continue reading Revisiting Subprime Crisis – Part II..
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Revisiting Subprime Crisis – Part I..

The subprime crisis continues to reverberate across the global economies even though it is eight years since it hit its peak. While the original culprit, the US, seems to have largely come out of it, rest of the world, particularly Europe and Japan, still struggle to give direction to their economies. The crisis would remain … Continue reading Revisiting Subprime Crisis – Part I..
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